Indradhanush Framework: A Missed Opportunity For The Modi Government

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Earlier this month, the ministry of finance recently came up with the seven step Indradhanush framework to transform the shape of the government owned public sector banks (PSBs). As the press release accompanying the announcement of the framework pointed out: “Indradhanush framework for transforming the public sector banks represents the most comprehensive reform effort undertaken since banking nationalisation in the year 1970. Our PSBs are now ready to compete and flourish in a fast-evolving financial services landscape.”

Given the marketing prowess of the Narendra Modi government, such a claim isn’t surprising. Nevertheless, the question is, does the framework address the basic issues at the heart of reforming the public sector banks.

In May 2014, the Committee to Review Governance of Boards of Banks in India (better known as the PJ Nayak Committee) had submitted a detailed report on reforming the public sector banks in India.

As the report submitted by the PJ Nayak committee pointed out: “Governance difficulties in public sector banks arise from several externally imposed constraints. These include dual regulation, by the Finance Ministry in addition to RBI; board constitution, wherein it is difficult to categorise any director as independent; significant and widening compensation differences with private sector banks, leading to the erosion of specialist skills; external vigilance enforcement though the CVC and CBI; and limited applicability of the RTI Act. A more level playing field with private sector banks is desirable.”

The committee had also proposed a solution to these problems. As it said: “If the Government stake in these banks were to reduce to less than 50 per cent, together with certain other executive measures taken, all these external constraints would disappear. This would be a beneficial trade-off for the Government because it would continue to be the dominant shareholder and, without its control in banks diminishing, it would create the conditions for its banks to compete more successfully. It is a fundamental irony that presently the Government disadvantages the very banks it has invested in.”

There is nothing in the Indradhanush framework which talks about either privatisation or the government bringing down its stake to lower levels in public sector banks. The Modi government like the previous Manmohan Singh government wants to continue owning 25 public sector banks. Also, by wanting to own 25 public sector banks, the government has gone totally against the “minimum government maximum governance” philosophy that Narendra Modi had espoused in the run-up to the Lok Sabha elections that happened last year.

The Nayak committee had also proposed that the government follow the Axis Bank model, where the government is an investor rather than the promoter. “The CEO is appointed by the bank’s board, and because the bank was licensed in the private sector, it sets its own employee compensation, ensures its own vigilance enforcement (rather than being under the jurisdiction of the Central Vigilance Commission), and is not subject to the Right to Information Act.”

The Nayak committee had also talked about the need to do away with the dual regulation of public sector banks by the ministry of finance as well as the Reserve Bank of India. This, the committee had said makes public sector banks uncompetitive. As the report of the committee had pointed out: “Any directions issued which are applicable to a subset of banks do damage to that subset, however laudable the objectives. Those banks not part of the subset are under no obligation to participate; if they do so the participation is voluntary, while for the subset it is coercive. Such discriminatory orders reduce the competitiveness of the subset. It is ironical that the Government seeks to make uncompetitive the very banks it has invested capital in.”

An excellent example of this is the lending carried out by public sector banks to many infrastructure companies over the last few years, where the private sector banks had stayed away from lending. A major part of the bad loans on the books of public sector banks come from lending to infrastructure companies.
As DN Prakash, President of Corporation Bank Officers’ Organisation and Vice-President All India Bank Officers’ Confederation, said in a press release: “A major part of NPAs of PSBs are in infrastructure, power and telecom sectors. When private sector banks had stayed away, PSBs had lent to these sectors as part of their commitment to economic growth and nation building. Today, they are blamed for the NPAs in these sectors.”

In order to rule out such problems the Nayak committee had recommended: “The Government should cease to issue any regulatory instructions applicable only to public sector banks, as dual regulation is discriminatory. RBI should be the sole regulator for banks, with regulations continuing to be uniformly applicable to all commercial banks.”

But the Indradhanush framework does nothing on this front. The idea of giving away control over public sector banks is a little too difficult for babus and politicians to digest. On this front, the Modi government is not very different from the previous governments.

Further, the public sector need a lot of money in the years to come, which the government as the major owner has to provide. But it cannot do so without ending in a big financial mess itself.

The Nayak committee between January 2014 and March 2018 “public sector banks would need Rs. 5.87 lakh crores of tier-I capital.” The committee further said that: “assuming that the Government puts in 60 per cent (though it will be challenging to raise the remaining 40 per cent from the capital markets), the Government would need to invest over Rs. 3.50 lakh crores.”

The government on the other hand estimates that “the capital requirement of extra capital for the next four years up to FY 2019 is likely to be about Rs.1,80,000 crore.” Of this amount it proposes to invest Rs 70,000 crore. Where is this money going to come from is a question that the government hasn’t tried to answer.

Over and above this, the Indradhanush framework does not come up with any fresh thinking on the issue of bad loans that has been plaguing public sector banks. It lists out a series of things that the Reserve Bank of India has been doing for a while now. But as is well know these steps haven’t done much to stem the rot when it comes to burgeoning bad loans.

As Prakash of Corporation Bank puts it: “there is no resolve on part of the Government to recover NPAs from big corporates that constitute the major chunk of NPAs [non-performing assets] in the industry.”

There doesn’t seem to be any systematic solution in light to clean up the bad loans mess at public sector banks. The government had an opportunity to do this with the Indradhanush framework, which it has clearly missed. As Crisil Ratings pointed out in a brief research note, “A ‘surgical’ response to the challenge of NPAs by creating a ‘bad bank,’” could have been a step in the right direction.

The column originally appeared on Swarajya Mag on August 26, 2015

(Vivek Kaul is the author of the Easy Money trilogy. He tweets @kaul_vivek)

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About vivekkaul
Vivek Kaul is a writer who has worked at senior positions with the Daily News and Analysis(DNA) and The Economic Times, in the past. He is the author of the Easy Money trilogy. Easy Money: The Greatest Ponzi Scheme Ever and How It Is Set to Destroy the Global Financial System , the latest book in the trilogy has just been published. The first two books in the trilogy were published in November 2013 and July 2014 respectively. Both the books were bestsellers on Amazon.com and Amazon.in. Currently he works as an economic commentator and writes regular columns for www.firstpost.com. He is also the India editor of The Daily Reckoning newsletter published by www.equitymaster.com. His writing has appeared across various other publications in India. These include The Times of India, Business Standard,Business Today, Business World, The Hindu, The Hindu Business Line, Indian Management, The Asian Age, Deccan Chronicle, Forbes India, Mutual Fund Insight, The Free Press Journal, Quartz.com, DailyO.in, Business World, Huffington Post and Wealth Insight. In the past he has also been a regular columnist for www.rediff.com. He has lectured at IIM Bangalore, IIM Indore, TA PAI Institute of Management and the Alliance University (Bangalore). He has also taught a course titled Indian Economy to the PGPMX batch of IIM Indore. His areas of interest are the intersection between politics and economics, the international financial crisis, personal finance, marketing and branding, and anything to do with cinema and music. He can be reached at vivek.kaul@gmail.com

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